PolyBot

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Traders

koninginhetkasteel

0x69bf85dec1ab8491feaf1df3413c23a3ff9b1737

Realised P&L
$76.87
Volume
$237.2k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$83.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.036$18.21−$1.25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.024$9.40−$0.60
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0300.030$7.04+$0.12
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0280.028$6.15+$0.00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0260.025$5.89−$0.12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0220.024$5.69+$0.28
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0280.028$5.60+$0.00
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No0.1700.080$4.00−$4.50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 · Yes0.0460.042$3.06−$0.29
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0250.023$2.14−$0.17
Epic Games IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0200.012$1.94−$1.27
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.0380.038$1.88+$0.00
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.0310.027$1.73−$0.26
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.0150.015$1.72+$0.01
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0190.015$1.61−$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 18:25Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?SELL0.16$2.72
10-04 17:26Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.024$1.01
10-04 16:52Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?SELL0.2$4.00
10-04 06:24Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.07$1.45
10-04 06:07Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
10-04 06:05Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0195520323$2.03
10-04 06:02Mistral AI IPO before 2027?BUY0.023$1.20
10-04 06:01ByteDance IPO before 2027?BUY0.024$1.65
10-04 06:00Epic Games IPO before 2027?BUY0.0229855398$2.56
10-04 05:58Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?BUY0.016$0.80
10-04 05:56WHOOP IPO before 2027?BUY0.013$0.86
10-04 05:46Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? BUY0.0166116131$0.99
10-04 05:44Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?BUY0.039$7.76
10-04 05:40Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?BUY0.016$1.10
10-04 05:39Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.002$1.01