0x69b5c5b49bfab9bbc5d6d99eb66c5d4cf3503b73
- Realised P&L
- $-3.19
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $59.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.19at 0.095Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
- +$8.99at 0.736Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
- +$5.79at 0.517Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$2.98at 0.767Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$1.83at 0.932Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.8699999964 | $4.79 |
| 09-15 15:06 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7499999625 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $7.33 |
| 09-11 08:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.35 |
| 09-03 20:40 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.8399999961 | $8.58 |
| 09-03 20:37 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $9.32 |
| 09-01 10:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.9839999664 | $7.26 |
| 08-12 22:33 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.8199997153 | $2.65 |
| 08-12 22:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999399 | $9.11 |
| 08-12 18:59 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0219999979 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 12:28 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? | SELL | 0.097 | $3.99 |
| 08-09 09:51 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.9670139104 | $6.26 |
| 08-06 21:03 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.7199999901 | $8.71 |
| 08-06 20:39 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | SELL | 0.728 | $9.70 |
| 08-03 11:49 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9799999499 | $7.43 |