icebearmeow
0x69a56215d1f7b14858ec7d2e8d2f53830fae37b0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $92.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.41at 0.580Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$67.92at 0.370Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$52.36at 0.696Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
- +$40.44at 0.331Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$21.43at 0.700US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 17:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 17:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 04-29 17:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 17:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 16:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 16:59 | Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | SELL | 0.272 | $8.00 |
| 04-13 12:19 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 12:19 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 18:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.3899999931 | $15.93 |
| 04-08 18:33 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.4919262094 | $100.00 |
| 04-07 08:42 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-07 08:37 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | BUY | 0.3972159137 | $200.00 |
| 04-07 08:37 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-07 08:37 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 04-07 08:37 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.8199999902 | $10.00 |