PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

superstation

0x69891b1481e34384a0d564e5976b50270304b412

Realised P&L
$-45.6k
Volume
$2.62M
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$33.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6650.840$16.9k+$3.5k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9050.935$11.8k+$370.73
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7990.779$3.4k$84.20
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0310.033$627.23+$19.63
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1220.112$247.75$23.33
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.026$111.19+$6.29
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? · No0.7500.795$46.63+$2.64
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5400.926$20.38+$8.50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$2.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:01Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.832$8.32
09-16 17:57Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.778$339.98
09-16 17:56Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.775$47.88
07-23 08:09Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8125964691$1.3k
07-23 08:08Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.81$69.66
07-22 06:11Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.499$30.47
07-22 05:37Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.532$608.61
07-22 05:35Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.527$7.91
07-20 12:09Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.802$2.3k
07-07 20:18Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.26$2.60
07-04 13:22Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.978$213.69
07-04 11:11Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.9678954718$462.98
07-04 11:11Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.963$120.38
07-03 07:47Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.803$194.20
06-27 22:26Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.794$768.39