superstation
0x69891b1481e34384a0d564e5976b50270304b412
- Realised P&L
- $-45.6k
- Volume
- $2.62M
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $33.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.665 | 0.840 | $16.9k | +$3.5k |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.905 | 0.935 | $11.8k | +$370.73 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.799 | 0.779 | $3.4k | −$84.20 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.033 | $627.23 | +$19.63 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.112 | $247.75 | −$23.33 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.026 | $111.19 | +$6.29 |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? · No | 0.750 | 0.795 | $46.63 | +$2.64 |
| Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.926 | $20.38 | +$8.50 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.3kat 0.809US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$16.9kat 0.823US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$13.2kat 0.865US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
- +$13.0kat 0.881US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$10.5kat 0.813Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:01 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.832 | $8.32 |
| 09-16 17:57 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.778 | $339.98 |
| 09-16 17:56 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.775 | $47.88 |
| 07-23 08:09 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8125964691 | $1.3k |
| 07-23 08:08 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $69.66 |
| 07-22 06:11 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.499 | $30.47 |
| 07-22 05:37 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.532 | $608.61 |
| 07-22 05:35 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.527 | $7.91 |
| 07-20 12:09 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.802 | $2.3k |
| 07-07 20:18 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 07-04 13:22 | Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.978 | $213.69 |
| 07-04 11:11 | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.9678954718 | $462.98 |
| 07-04 11:11 | Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.963 | $120.38 |
| 07-03 07:47 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.803 | $194.20 |
| 06-27 22:26 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.794 | $768.39 |