PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6980940714818120e024De4B1C1667055DBbAd28-1777223051102

0x6980940714818120e024de4b1c1667055dbbad28

Realised P&L
$-72.88
Volume
$16.0k
Markets traded
439
Open portfolio
$23.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded439
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2200.365$1.66+$0.66
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? · No0.4400.545$1.24+$0.24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2800.285$1.02+$0.02
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder? · Yes0.2000.180$0.90−$0.10
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? · Yes0.3000.230$0.77−$0.23
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2830.205$0.76−$0.29
Diddy released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.2000.138$0.69−$0.31
Will Shrek 5 be delayed? · Yes0.2000.135$0.68−$0.33
Trump goes to space in 2026? · Yes0.0370.025$0.67−$0.33
Modi out by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1700.105$0.62−$0.38
Paris Hilton pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.2500.145$0.58−$0.42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0210.011$0.55−$0.45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3200.175$0.55−$0.45
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · No0.6000.305$0.51−$0.49
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0340.017$0.50−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 16:07Modi out by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
08-04 20:31Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$1.70
07-24 09:29Will Shrek 5 be delayed?BUY0.2$1.00
07-24 09:283M Open: Albatross?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
07-24 09:28Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-24 09:27Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
07-24 09:27Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
07-24 09:27Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
07-24 09:26Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?BUY0.033999968$1.00
07-24 09:26Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?BUY0.0150316604$1.00
07-24 09:26Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
07-24 09:24FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?SELL0.53$1.51
07-20 12:09Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?SELL0.35$1.52
07-16 13:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-16 13:19Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.1309998997$1.00