PolyBot

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Traders

n1414

0x68d399617573841413513ba7eec8e793b32582e1

Realised P&L
$10.1k
Volume
$310.3k
Markets traded
170
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded170
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6900.835$3.3k+$581.03
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3420.255$51.00$17.50
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? · No0.1520.000$0.00$57.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 10:05Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?BUY0.7395763161$279.29
06-15 10:04Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?BUY0.1517383821$57.30
06-07 23:48Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.55B?SELL0.967$46.42
06-07 23:46Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$0.03
06-06 23:43Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.31$1.55
06-06 23:34Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.34$1.70
06-06 23:06Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$1.50
06-06 00:33Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?BUY0.85$4.25
06-05 13:41Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.55B?SELL0.034$9.22
06-04 12:08Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$5.44
06-04 12:08Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.16$4.60
05-11 15:09Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?BUY0.88$127.60
05-11 14:37Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?BUY0.88$352.00
05-07 07:27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8$160.00
05-07 07:26Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.81$121.50