opopv3
0x686880eea810fa9141be46a1acec9eee41755198
- Realised P&L
- $29.8k
- Volume
- $3.09M
- Markets traded
- 3,697
- Open portfolio
- $41.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,697
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.340 | 0.395 | $39.50 | +$5.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.006 | $1.55 | −$1.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.188Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?
- +$1.3kat 0.033Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?
- +$1.1kat 0.366Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 16?
- +$1.1kat 0.318Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?
- +$1.0kat 0.218Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.458184459 | $25.24 |
| 09-17 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.35 |
| 09-17 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4333333333 | $6.50 |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.658887934 | $76.67 |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5334844384 | $55.19 |
| 09-17 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.0012846924 | $0.95 |
| 09-17 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1717012448 | $15.72 |
| 09-17 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.24 |
| 09-17 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $75.92 |
| 09-17 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.97 |
| 09-17 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.0056494466 | $3.07 |
| 09-17 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0707852429 | $20.17 |
| 09-17 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0474952461 | $4.50 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.2133279326 | $6.58 |