PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

opopv3

0x686880eea810fa9141be46a1acec9eee41755198

Realised P&L
$30.8k
Volume
$3.52M
Markets traded
4,392
Open portfolio
$814.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,392
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.0560.218$755.59+$561.47
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.1550.080$32.00−$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2? · Yes0.0900.110$10.04+$1.83
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2? · Yes0.0180.026$8.25+$2.76
Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.1200.065$6.50−$5.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? · Yes0.0040.009$1.90+$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:17Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?SELL0.008$0.12
11-02 03:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 2?SELL0.0025624$0.51
11-02 02:35Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?BUY0.0070661939$1.49
11-01 05:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1?SELL0.091$1.77
11-01 02:58Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C on November 1?SELL0.0015883829$0.94
11-01 01:47Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C on November 1?BUY0.0550744758$32.49
10-31 16:27Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?SELL0.0021068947$0.20
10-31 15:37Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?SELL0.535$10.70
10-31 14:40Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?BUY0.4572616145$275.69
10-31 14:35Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 31?SELL0.999$3.68
10-31 06:58Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 31?SELL0.0110004199$3.14
10-31 06:58Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 31?SELL0.00645$0.65
10-31 05:59Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 31?BUY0.36$21.60
10-31 05:58Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 31?BUY0.7603999823$171.67
10-31 05:57Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 31?SELL0.0018944473$0.95