PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bluti

0x682ac3b688838752361f20aca9bc9d5194871f00

Realised P&L
$57.79
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$194.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.5000.715$75.79+$22.79
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7100.785$22.11+$2.11
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2490.245$19.65−$0.35
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.3360.335$16.96−$0.04
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.5000.780$15.60+$5.60
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? · No0.8200.520$12.68−$7.32
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.295$10.17+$0.17
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.505$8.56−$1.44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4100.425$5.18+$0.18
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.5200.435$4.18−$0.82
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0700.045$3.21−$1.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 11:49Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.3399999966$10.00
09-25 11:48Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.25$10.00
09-25 10:11Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?SELL0.88$14.19
09-24 09:03Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.52$20.00
09-24 08:41Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.75$10.87
09-24 07:19Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2475247525$5.00
09-23 19:29Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-23 19:28Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
09-23 08:38Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
09-23 08:37Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.3299999877$7.00
09-23 08:36Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.25$5.00
09-22 06:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9$55.16
09-20 13:58Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$5.00
09-20 13:57Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.6899999821$10.00
09-20 13:54NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999968$10.00