0x67f37f5beeb4ad2c944275e44610edecfbb94592
0x67f37f5beeb4ad2c944275e44610edecfbb94592
- Realised P&L
- $-0.31
- Volume
- $82.58
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $2.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.922 | $1.87 | +$0.59 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.140 | $0.48 | −$0.80 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.065 | $0.22 | −$1.06 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.038 | $0.13 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.25at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.67at 0.440Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.25at 0.510S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?
- +$1.25at 0.510SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 19?
- +$1.20at 0.520Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 21:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999422 | $1.28 |
| 09-19 23:53 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998277 | $1.28 |
| 09-19 07:43 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999422 | $1.28 |
| 09-16 23:21 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5099999841 | $1.28 |
| 09-16 15:21 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2799999738 | $1.28 |
| 09-16 07:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.28 |
| 09-13 21:53 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998383 | $1.28 |
| 09-13 07:29 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2599999959 | $1.28 |
| 09-11 19:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.28 |
| 09-10 19:34 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7499998535 | $1.28 |
| 09-09 22:27 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6599999794 | $1.28 |
| 09-09 01:00 | Will Macy's say "China" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.28 |
| 09-08 16:11 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.28 |
| 09-08 06:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6799997947 | $1.06 |
| 09-07 16:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5499999785 | $1.28 |