ruslanbes
0x66a5b7534799c8f1bd6bc152a5b9a852004956cb
- Realised P&L
- $898.12
- Volume
- $237.7k
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$498.00at 0.082Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$420.00at 0.400Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
- +$376.85at 0.215Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
- +$299.22at 0.638Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
- +$273.00at 0.130Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 07:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.5k |
| 09-04 21:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.590504 | $295.25 |
| 09-04 21:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.505 | $252.50 |
| 09-02 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $140.00 |
| 08-28 08:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $790.00 |
| 08-26 18:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $61.16 |
| 08-26 18:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $71.28 |
| 08-21 20:38 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $90.00 |
| 08-21 20:10 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 08-21 20:09 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 19:09 | Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $38.36 |
| 08-10 16:52 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 08-10 16:20 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.01586 | $15.86 |
| 07-10 09:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.46 | $92.00 |
| 07-10 07:55 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.60951972 | $304.76 |