PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ruslanbes

0x66a5b7534799c8f1bd6bc152a5b9a852004956cb

Realised P&L
$898.12
Volume
$237.7k
Markets traded
336
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded336
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8400.895$1.2k+$71.50
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8950.925$647.50+$21.00
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8830.942$427.76+$26.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? · Yes0.7500.998$399.20+$99.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.645$322.48$7.50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9100.958$287.25+$14.25
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3470.235$235.00$112.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6090.175$195.60$485.48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.3090.285$113.94$9.65
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3890.145$110.33$185.90
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4710.125$87.50$242.50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0510.131$65.25+$39.75
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3700.065$45.37$213.04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$45.00$55.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.2550.055$44.00$160.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 07:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.993$1.5k
09-04 21:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.590504$295.25
09-04 21:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.505$252.50
09-02 16:16Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?BUY0.7$140.00
08-28 08:12Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$790.00
08-26 18:53Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$61.16
08-26 18:53Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$71.28
08-21 20:38Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3$90.00
08-21 20:10Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3$30.00
08-21 20:09Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3$30.00
08-19 19:09Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.39$38.36
08-10 16:52Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.002$4.00
08-10 16:20Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.01586$15.86
07-10 09:50Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.46$92.00
07-10 07:55Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.60951972$304.76