0x6696a7b0d8d5f002a832388272f102511ce3b1c4
- Realised P&L
- $-162.45
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $71.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.74at 0.174Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$16.17at 0.382Will Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026?
- +$7.34at 0.290Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.95at 0.590Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?
- +$0.11at 0.870Trump out as President before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 22:39 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 19:41 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 19:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1649999741 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 19:40 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1079999911 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 17:28 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $5.11 |
| 06-08 17:28 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $10.11 |
| 05-11 00:02 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999669 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 22:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0209999927 | $2.86 |
| 05-09 22:33 | Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.1099999831 | $5.35 |
| 05-09 22:32 | Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.2099999936 | $20.74 |
| 02-19 21:30 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 02-08 11:48 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 02-08 11:46 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.173963443 | $5.00 |
| 01-31 02:19 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 01-22 00:03 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |