0x6604F363e9F275d2ec434c7A96727AeC726E1449-1760093730853
0x6604f363e9f275d2ec434c7a96727aec726e1449
- Realised P&L
- $-14.04
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $13.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.43at 0.070Grokipedia released by October 31?
- +$0.77at 0.923Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
- +$0.65at 0.370Will prjx launch a token in 2025?
- +$0.47at 0.740More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?
- +$0.25at 0.800Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:55 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 10-25 22:55 | Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025? | SELL | 0.43 | $5.17 |
| 10-24 06:43 | Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday? | SELL | 0.0119244127 | $3.85 |
| 10-22 18:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 10-22 14:22 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.05 |
| 10-22 14:21 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025? | SELL | 0.961 | $1.01 |
| 10-22 14:21 | Maduro out in 2025? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 14:21 | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.12 |
| 10-22 14:11 | More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $5.47 |
| 10-22 14:10 | Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025? | BUY | 0.4154302284 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 14:10 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025? | BUY | 0.0329999937 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 13:20 | Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? | BUY | 0.037 | $2.77 |
| 10-22 13:16 | Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday? | BUY | 0.0123809524 | $4.00 |
| 10-22 13:02 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 10-21 22:22 | Will prjx launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.65 |