PolyBot

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Traders

0x6604F363e9F275d2ec434c7A96727AeC726E1449-1760093730853

0x6604f363e9f275d2ec434c7a96727aec726e1449

Realised P&L
$-14.04
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$13.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8300.981$5.91+$0.91
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.765$2.01+$1.01
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7800.875$1.12+$0.12
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2900.221$1.10$0.35
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · No0.9400.999$1.06+$0.06
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026? · No0.9500.931$0.98$0.02
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0800.043$0.54$0.46
Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0500.026$0.52$0.48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2300.077$0.39$0.77
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$4.00
Israel strikes Iran before 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$2.77
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$5.00
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 22:55US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?SELL0.1$4.00
10-25 22:55Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?SELL0.43$5.17
10-24 06:43Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?SELL0.0119244127$3.85
10-22 18:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.16$4.00
10-22 14:22Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?SELL0.9$1.05
10-22 14:21Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?SELL0.961$1.01
10-22 14:21Maduro out in 2025?SELL0.81$1.00
10-22 14:21No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?SELL0.024$0.12
10-22 14:11More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?SELL0.81$5.47
10-22 14:10Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?BUY0.4154302284$5.00
10-22 14:10Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?BUY0.0329999937$5.00
10-22 13:20Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?BUY0.037$2.77
10-22 13:16Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?BUY0.0123809524$4.00
10-22 13:02US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY0.1$4.00
10-21 22:22Will prjx launch a token in 2025?SELL0.61$1.65