Cr4zyApe
0x65d1dfacd31f0a75083db245fefe1856603c0e74
- Realised P&L
- $9.3k
- Volume
- $829.5k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.490Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.2kat 0.031Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.0kat 0.863Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.5kat 0.957Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
- +$1.1kat 0.298Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.46 | $252.59 |
| 09-16 18:56 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $277.93 |
| 09-16 18:17 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.616 | $21.56 |
| 09-16 18:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.61 | $217.79 |
| 09-16 03:17 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.5992105263 | $113.85 |
| 09-13 01:16 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 09-13 01:06 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | BUY | 0.606 | $36.36 |
| 08-30 16:16 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.982 | $9.4k |
| 08-30 16:13 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9830657136 | $13.5k |
| 08-28 02:30 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.96 | $45.12 |
| 08-28 02:25 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9595 | $191.90 |
| 08-28 02:23 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9592697136 | $333.93 |
| 08-27 00:30 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $61.14 |
| 08-27 00:29 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $8.60 |
| 08-24 10:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $340.81 |