PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x659c09ffd12d734dc5c153cb3138bc02377e3788

Realised P&L
$-31.00
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
959
Open portfolio
$58.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded959
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$5.97$0.09
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$5.97$0.09
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$5.91$0.15
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.969$5.88$0.18
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$5.81$0.25
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$5.67$0.39
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$5.17$0.01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.984$3.39$0.05
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.992$3.24$0.02
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.970$2.52$0.07
Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election? · No0.9980.998$2.23+$0.00
Will Thorsten Wassermann win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · No0.9980.992$2.22$0.01
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · No0.9890.991$2.05+$0.00
Will Timothy Rathjen win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · No0.9991.000$1.91+$0.00
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9980.144$0.46$2.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8PM ETBUY0.998$1.05
09-17 23:58Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999988$1.60
09-17 23:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.9969999988$1.66
09-17 22:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.999$0.46
09-17 22:55BNB Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.99$1.42
09-17 21:57Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 5PM ETBUY0.999$1.42
09-17 20:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4PM ETBUY0.99$1.40
09-17 19:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ETBUY0.95$1.40
09-17 10:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETBUY0.998$1.39
09-17 09:56Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ETBUY0.999$1.47
09-17 08:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETBUY0.9975154394$1.05
09-17 07:57Solana Up or Down - September 17, 3AM ETBUY0.999$1.40
09-17 07:57BNB Up or Down - September 17, 3AM ETBUY0.999$1.40
09-17 07:56Solana Up or Down - September 17, 3AM ETBUY0.997$1.40
09-17 03:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ETBUY0.9989995733$1.40