PolyBot

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Traders

claire-pol-a101

0x659c09ffd12d734dc5c153cb3138bc02377e3788

Realised P&L
$-28.21
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
1,342
Open portfolio
$56.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,342
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$5.97−$0.08
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$5.97−$0.09
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.980$5.94−$0.12
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.966$5.86−$0.20
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.965$5.85−$0.21
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.956$5.80−$0.26
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026? · Yes0.9990.936$3.29−$0.22
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.9900.905$1.76−$0.16
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9990.999$1.66−$0.00
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9990.998$1.66−$0.00
Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · No0.9991.000$1.64+$0.00
Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · No0.9990.995$1.63−$0.01
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9740.950$1.62−$0.04
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? · No0.9990.989$1.46−$0.02
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? · No0.9970.992$1.46−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:56Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?BUY0.999$1.48
10-31 21:00Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?BUY0.995$1.47
10-31 21:00Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?BUY0.9969999993$1.47
10-31 20:57Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9979999267$1.47
10-31 19:56Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?BUY0.995$1.47
10-31 07:56Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ETBUY0.9789999899$1.46
10-30 23:57Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?BUY0.999$1.46
10-30 03:56Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?BUY0.999$1.76
10-30 03:56Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?BUY0.9989998584$1.75
10-30 03:56Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?BUY0.999$1.76
10-30 03:56Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?BUY0.999$1.75
10-29 23:59Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026?BUY0.999$1.76
10-29 23:58Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?BUY0.997$1.76
10-29 23:58Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?BUY0.999$1.76
10-29 14:56Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ETBUY0.999$1.75