claire-pol-a101
0x659c09ffd12d734dc5c153cb3138bc02377e3788
- Realised P&L
- $-28.21
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,342
- Open portfolio
- $56.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,342
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.68at 0.430Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on March 2?
- +$0.52at 0.754Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3AM ET
- +$0.38at 0.859Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET
- +$0.33at 0.840Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET
- +$0.30at 0.960Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:56 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.48 |
| 10-31 21:00 | Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.47 |
| 10-31 21:00 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | BUY | 0.9969999993 | $1.47 |
| 10-31 20:57 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999267 | $1.47 |
| 10-31 19:56 | Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.47 |
| 10-31 07:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.9789999899 | $1.46 |
| 10-30 23:57 | Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.46 |
| 10-30 03:56 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |
| 10-30 03:56 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989998584 | $1.75 |
| 10-30 03:56 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |
| 10-30 03:56 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.75 |
| 10-29 23:59 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |
| 10-29 23:58 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.76 |
| 10-29 23:58 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.76 |
| 10-29 14:56 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $1.75 |