Mu2
0x659bc5b6144377aa1b8fa221ffacc4675f1fe53a
- Realised P&L
- $-69.49
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $98.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.50at 0.258Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
- +$30.50at 0.606Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$21.93at 0.894Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$7.40at 0.730Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
- +$5.76at 0.680Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:43 | Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:42 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:41 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.142843536 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:39 | US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999998 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 18:37 | Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 18:37 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 19:50 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 19:50 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 11-12 09:29 | Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year? | SELL | 0.62 | $10.52 |
| 10-22 09:43 | Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 10-22 09:43 | Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.11 |
| 10-22 09:42 | Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition? | BUY | 0.68 | $5.44 |
| 10-22 09:39 | Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 win the NOF1.ai competition? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.56 |
| 10-22 09:38 | Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro win the NOF1.ai competition? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.28 |
| 10-22 09:37 | Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.56 |