VandelayArt
0x6597babce307b7ecaebbdb01d0633df1dd00d2af
- Realised P&L
- $184.99
- Volume
- $36.1k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $15.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.33at 0.207Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$113.33at 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$24.49at 0.550Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$22.32at 0.018Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
- +$16.35at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 14:50 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 21? | BUY | 0.0364533221 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 07:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 07-09 12:30 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 19:53 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.1979999226 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 11:45 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 07-08 05:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 05:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.49 |
| 07-07 09:49 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.0120000001 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 00:16 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 13:39 | Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 03:55 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $7.00 |
| 07-05 03:25 | Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.8657931034 | $8.79 |
| 07-05 03:18 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 18:56 | Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 07-04 18:52 | Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |