VandelayArt
0x6597babce307b7ecaebbdb01d0633df1dd00d2af
- Realised P&L
- $173.96
- Volume
- $36.5k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $22.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.33at 0.207Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$113.33at 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$24.49at 0.550Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$22.72at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$22.32at 0.018Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:27 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0569999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 09:29 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:24 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:48 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0479999985 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 04:12 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 14:43 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 06:03 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 08-22 15:33 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.1118479537 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 15:32 | Will West Ham United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 15:26 | Will West Ham United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 14:50 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 21? | BUY | 0.0364533221 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 07:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 07-09 12:30 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 19:53 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.1979999226 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 11:45 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.80 |