PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yzhaobk-nrt

0x6586fb56a335aeb953b09b299eb181de3ffd497c

Realised P&L
$18.8k
Volume
$1.92M
Markets traded
9,279
Open portfolio
$8.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,279
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.1000.031$0.90$2.00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0350.008$0.61$2.07
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0540.006$0.50$3.61
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.018$0.48+$0.48
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.015$0.42+$0.42
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.004$0.32+$0.32
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0320.305$0.32+$0.28
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0490.004$0.27$3.44
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.009$0.25+$0.25
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.004$0.24$0.52
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.003$0.18$1.95
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.003$0.18+$0.18
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$0.17$10.73
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$0.17$10.73
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$0.17$10.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-27 12:26Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?BUY0.964$7.22
03-27 12:26Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?BUY0.039$0.29
03-27 12:26Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?BUY0.998$7.48
03-27 10:25Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.99$17.27
03-27 10:25Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.995$17.35
03-27 10:25Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.996$17.37
03-27 10:25Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.999$17.42
03-27 10:25Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.999$17.42
03-27 10:25Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.999$17.42
03-27 10:25Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.999$17.42
03-27 10:25Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.999$17.42
03-27 10:25Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.995$17.35
03-27 10:25Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.025$0.44
03-27 09:27Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.998$99.80
03-27 09:27Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.988$98.80