PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6529d715ffa64a35aaf7ae105f0bb0552e210133

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$21.68

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9000.978$5.35+$0.42
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9210.979$4.89+$0.29
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9400.960$4.02+$0.08
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.971$2.29+$0.12
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No0.9400.969$2.06+$0.06
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · No0.9300.965$1.04+$0.04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9700.981$1.01+$0.01
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · Yes0.0390.029$0.76−$0.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.4800.125$0.26−$0.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 16:42Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.984$1.06
10-08 11:46Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.989$1.35
10-01 20:41Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.5099999054$1.24
10-01 20:41Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.5099999363$1.36
10-01 07:43Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.97$1.00
09-03 02:35Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.985$1.00
08-25 01:21Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$1.00
08-10 01:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-08 19:42Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?SELL0.87$0.95
08-06 08:41Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$3.91
08-06 08:35Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.959999616$1.00
08-06 08:35Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$3.42
08-06 08:35Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$6.23
08-06 03:47Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
08-06 03:43Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999624$1.00