0x6529d715ffa64a35aaf7ae105f0bb0552e210133
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $21.68
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No | 0.900 | 0.978 | $5.35 | +$0.42 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.921 | 0.979 | $4.89 | +$0.29 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.960 | $4.02 | +$0.08 |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.971 | $2.29 | +$0.12 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.969 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · No | 0.930 | 0.965 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.981 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.029 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.125 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.53at 0.095Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
- +$5.97at 0.457UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)
- +$5.54at 0.716UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)
- +$3.27at 0.577UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)
- +$2.80at 0.627UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 16:42 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.984 | $1.06 |
| 10-08 11:46 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.35 |
| 10-01 20:41 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | BUY | 0.5099999054 | $1.24 |
| 10-01 20:41 | Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | BUY | 0.5099999363 | $1.36 |
| 10-01 07:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 02:35 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 01:21 | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 01:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 19:42 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.95 |
| 08-06 08:41 | Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $3.91 |
| 08-06 08:35 | Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.959999616 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 08:35 | Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.42 |
| 08-06 08:35 | Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $6.23 |
| 08-06 03:47 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 03:43 | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |