iskren4o
0x64abff04cb141b756243ae7e2a977b2d9f5323a8
- Realised P&L
- $123.50
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $26.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.32at 0.028Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$22.65at 0.170US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$21.19at 0.133Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$19.17at 0.060US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$13.12at 0.240Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:41 | Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.446458 | $44.65 |
| 11-01 11:21 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 11-01 10:03 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.17 |
| 11-01 10:01 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 10-30 17:10 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.68 |
| 10-30 17:09 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.057 | $1.14 |
| 10-30 17:07 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.093 | $3.72 |
| 10-29 13:28 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 10-28 16:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 10-28 14:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 16:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.24 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 12:11 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 11:56 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.18 | $13.35 |
| 09-25 13:15 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-16 17:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |