PolyBot

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Traders

iskren4o

0x64abff04cb141b756243ae7e2a977b2d9f5323a8

Realised P&L
$123.50
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$26.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1380.313$11.32+$6.32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.0900.055$5.50−$3.50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1400.055$5.50−$8.50
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0790.041$2.57−$2.43
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.014$0.35−$4.65
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.0660.001$0.20−$13.00
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.1770.001$0.16−$56.56
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0680.002$0.15−$6.65
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes0.0570.001$0.12−$6.72
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? · Yes0.0420.001$0.10−$4.30
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.0700.001$0.10−$6.90
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.4460.001$0.10−$44.55
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.2300.001$0.04−$9.16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25? · No0.2090.000$0.00−$10.00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:41Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.446458$44.65
11-01 11:21Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.14$14.00
11-01 10:03Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.039$1.17
11-01 10:01Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.18$18.00
10-30 17:10Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?BUY0.042$1.68
10-30 17:09Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.057$1.14
10-30 17:07Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.093$3.72
10-29 13:28Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.23$9.20
10-28 16:39Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.09$9.00
10-28 14:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.05$5.00
10-27 16:48Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.24$15.00
09-30 12:11Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.2$20.00
09-28 11:56Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.18$13.35
09-25 13:15Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.27$27.00
09-16 17:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.14$14.00