PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

palsanlep

0x6498eaae87d8461e2ec154f71a0feb9fdf1bf7a6

Realised P&L
$1.62
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$43.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6990.715$10.22+$0.22
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5910.871$7.36+$2.36
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.6800.715$5.26+$0.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.7900.795$5.03+$0.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.7800.775$4.97−$0.03
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.7800.775$4.97−$0.03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1670.086$2.59−$2.41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6800.920$1.35+$0.35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1870.197$1.05+$0.05
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2410.154$0.64−$0.36
Seville: Facundo Acosta vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Alejandro Moro Canas0.2440.000$0.00−$1.00
Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva · Francesca Jones0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$2.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? · No0.2660.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 06:22Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
10-09 06:20Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
10-09 06:19Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
10-07 11:12Villena: Hynek Barton vs Toby SamuelBUY0.64$3.20
10-07 11:09Villena: Hynek Barton vs Toby SamuelBUY0.7$1.00
10-07 10:00Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman WongBUY0.8299999967$5.00
10-07 06:08Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7199999424$5.00
10-06 18:04Will England win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
10-06 18:01Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-05 18:06Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-05 17:54Palermo: Louis Wessels vs Andrej MartinBUY0.849999915$1.00
10-01 18:42Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.75$1.00
09-29 16:46Bari: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Laurent LokoliBUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-28 18:57Will Türkiye vs. Italy end in a draw?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-25 15:45Ankara: Deniz Dilek vs Anastasia GasanovaBUY0.9299999284$10.00