Piero91
0x64931dcf625940050ba1fc2fa029def32cdbf782
- Realised P&L
- $665.46
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $91.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$888.59at 0.147Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$305.24at 0.292Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$188.71at 0.183Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$10.46at 0.637Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
- +$6.92at 0.444Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:13 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.2075098805 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 12:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | BUY | 0.0774737976 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 11:13 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $25.00 |
| 09-13 11:12 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $301.73 |
| 08-31 18:56 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.885 | $120.90 |
| 08-26 13:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.239999998 | $80.00 |
| 08-26 13:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3499999986 | $100.00 |
| 08-26 13:26 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.873 | $119.26 |
| 07-19 20:36 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.1724999872 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 08:45 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.1337770313 | $15.00 |
| 07-01 14:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.201 | $136.67 |
| 06-29 21:17 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339999966 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 17:53 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $15.00 |
| 06-16 15:50 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0744683215 | $50.00 |
| 06-16 15:10 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $176.63 |