Rastinyak
0x6464e4ae091542f27e8dae83a91cee7514b11b61
- Realised P&L
- $-2.03
- Volume
- $316.51
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $14.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.72at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$3.46at 0.464Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$2.63at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$1.93at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$1.81at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1809523741 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:25 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 14:24 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 14:20 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:20 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:20 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 06:46 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.92 |
| 09-24 06:46 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.1989999754 | $1.60 |
| 09-23 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $0.92 |
| 09-23 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $1.61 |
| 09-23 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |