PolyBot

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Traders

Rastinyak

0x6464e4ae091542f27e8dae83a91cee7514b11b61

Realised P&L
$-2.03
Volume
$316.51
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$14.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 19:59Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9?BUY0.1809523741$1.00
10-03 14:34Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 4?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-03 14:25Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?BUY0.925$2.00
10-03 14:24Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
10-03 14:20Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-03 14:20Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-03 14:20Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-24 06:46Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.81$0.92
09-24 06:46Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.1989999754$1.60
09-23 22:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSELL0.18$0.92
09-23 22:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-23 22:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-23 22:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSELL0.41$1.61
09-23 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.5099999516$2.00
09-23 22:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.5$2.00