PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Alderamin

0x64605f10f0bd8d7b465c226eccfa5425b4ab76db

Realised P&L
$-530.62
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$122.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2570.045$105.32$496.68
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2180.221$10.09+$0.09
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.8200.815$4.97$0.03
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$2.50$2.50
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$9.00
McDonald's CEO out by June 30? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$11.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 16:23Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2547032993$587.00
05-19 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.4899999973$9.00
05-19 19:17Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.07$7.00
05-19 19:16Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSELL0.87$7.50
05-19 19:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.5799999954$5.00
04-21 20:12Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4199999922$15.00
04-21 20:12Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?SELL0.57$15.00
04-21 20:11Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1099999907$9.34
04-21 20:10Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.91$9.28
04-01 18:51US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.001$0.06
04-01 18:38Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1899999333$2.08
03-16 00:40Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
03-13 12:15Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.409999991$9.71
03-10 06:31US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.299999982$10.00
03-07 19:00US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.3699999771$10.00