PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Realisticend

0x6449983b571a193dffbe73669a0db97ad66fe1d4

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$40.4k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$833.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.8100.925$342.59+$42.59
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.5800.835$215.99+$65.99
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? · No0.7700.855$111.04+$11.04
Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next? · No0.3570.430$60.29+$10.29
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2300.299$39.08+$9.08
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6720.605$38.72−$4.28
Will Caio Borralho fight Gregory Rodrigues next? · Yes0.1180.160$13.60+$3.60
Will Joe Pyfer fight Gregory Rodrigues next? · Yes0.1890.220$11.65+$1.65
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · Yes0.4600.018$0.46−$11.54
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Iwo Baraniewski0.6900.000$0.00−$100.00
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Nursulton Ruziboev0.4000.000$0.00−$50.00
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Waldo Cortes Acosta0.6400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO? · Yes0.5860.000$0.00−$43.18
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) · Anthony Hernandez0.6100.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 13:30Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2299233587$30.00
09-27 10:50Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6719321247$43.00
09-27 10:49Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?BUY0.7699999992$100.00
09-27 10:44US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.959$143.13
09-27 07:13Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.8399999994$183.00
09-25 09:34Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next?SELL0.16$13.33
09-24 07:26Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.5920408755$147.00
09-24 07:25Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.92$133.33
09-24 07:20UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.589999998$100.00
09-23 13:09Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?BUY0.356638326$50.00
09-23 13:07Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next?BUY0.119999999$10.00
09-23 13:03Will Joe Pyfer fight Gregory Rodrigues next?BUY0.1888667971$10.00
09-23 13:02Will Caio Borralho fight Gregory Rodrigues next?BUY0.1176118804$10.00
09-20 03:18UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.4199999993$59.12
09-19 21:02Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO?BUY0.5857607609$43.18