Realisticend
0x6449983b571a193dffbe73669a0db97ad66fe1d4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $40.4k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $833.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.43at 0.665Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$186.94at 0.686Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$170.90at 0.690Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$170.76at 0.567Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$138.99at 0.395Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:30 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2299233587 | $30.00 |
| 09-27 10:50 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6719321247 | $43.00 |
| 09-27 10:49 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 10:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $143.13 |
| 09-27 07:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.8399999994 | $183.00 |
| 09-25 09:34 | Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next? | SELL | 0.16 | $13.33 |
| 09-24 07:26 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5920408755 | $147.00 |
| 09-24 07:25 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $133.33 |
| 09-24 07:20 | UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.589999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 13:09 | Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next? | BUY | 0.356638326 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 13:07 | Will Ilia Topuria fight Justin Gaethje next? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 13:03 | Will Joe Pyfer fight Gregory Rodrigues next? | BUY | 0.1888667971 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 13:02 | Will Caio Borralho fight Gregory Rodrigues next? | BUY | 0.1176118804 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 03:18 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4199999993 | $59.12 |
| 09-19 21:02 | Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.5857607609 | $43.18 |