PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gem-bot

0x643c3ebb4cfb727b95647a06eec0bdf7e70a3fc2

Realised P&L
$-4.7k
Volume
$638.7k
Markets traded
3,753
Open portfolio
$122.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,753
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.705$51.47+$2.56
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.961$44.18+$33.14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0820.011$12.31−$83.92
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.5100.695$9.74+$2.59
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · No0.8400.971$2.91+$0.39
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0700.009$1.29−$9.35
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3830.439$0.51+$0.06
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1800.006$0.35−$10.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 8PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$1.83
Solana Up or Down - August 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.1350.000$0.00−$3.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.60
Solana Up or Down - August 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$1.64
Solana Up or Down - August 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$1.85
Solana Up or Down - August 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$1.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4PM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00−$1.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 11:04Solana Up or Down - September 7, 7AM ETBUY0.5599998896$1.42
09-07 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ETSELL0.66$1.32
09-07 09:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ETBUY0.5399999374$1.38
09-07 06:14BNB Up or Down - September 7, 2AM ETBUY0.64$1.42
09-07 06:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2AM ETSELL0.64$1.92
09-07 06:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2AM ETBUY0.5$1.95
09-07 05:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1AM ETSELL0.57$1.71
09-07 05:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1AM ETBUY0.5399998702$1.83
09-07 00:09Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ETSELL0.53$1.59
09-07 00:06Solana Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ETBUY0.5299999054$1.68
09-07 00:06Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ETBUY0.4899999852$1.65
09-07 00:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ETBUY0.5699999221$1.83
09-06 23:36BNB Up or Down - September 6, 7PM ETSELL0.77$1.54
09-06 23:28BNB Up or Down - September 6, 7PM ETBUY0.7399999039$1.54
09-06 23:18Solana Up or Down - September 6, 7PM ETSELL0.71$1.42