PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zrgyed

0x635cc79fa47efcfa58e51846a7d68687eef2dabc

Realised P&L
$-81.39
Volume
$7.5k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$108.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.6000.790$13.17+$3.17
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.8600.885$10.29+$0.29
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? · No0.8600.835$9.71−$0.29
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.4900.775$7.91+$2.91
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.3400.425$6.25+$1.25
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5300.595$5.61+$0.61
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? · No0.9000.987$5.48+$0.48
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? · Yes0.1600.165$5.16+$0.16
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C · Paper Rex0.5600.575$5.13+$0.13
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31? · No0.9200.930$5.05+$0.05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7600.755$4.97−$0.03
Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.940$4.95−$0.05
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? · No0.9100.885$4.86−$0.14
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3140.270$4.30−$0.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes0.2600.220$4.22−$0.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 05:38Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
09-28 03:20China Open, Qualification: Rigele Te vs James DuckworthBUY0.5$5.00
09-27 18:03Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CBUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-27 11:15Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)BUY0.4799999846$5.00
09-27 10:49Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)BUY0.5199999792$5.00
09-27 09:02Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan CasanovaSELL0.29$0.59
09-27 08:30Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan CasanovaBUY0.4851484889$5.00
09-27 03:59Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-27 03:28Tigres de la UANL vs. Club Puebla: Tigres de la UANL 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-26 19:16Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27?BUY0.25$5.00
09-26 19:06Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 27?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-26 16:13Valorant: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Group ABUY0.32$5.00
09-26 12:59Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)BUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-26 12:07Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group BSELL0.999$9.08
09-26 09:04Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group BBUY0.549999956$5.00