Joseaa
0x633e584379f70a2e7278d665daaa1fe050279a04
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $65.4k
- Markets traded
- 869
- Open portfolio
- $828.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded869
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.93at 0.020Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$66.39at 0.014Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$63.33at 0.136Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$59.47at 0.450US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$55.24at 0.420Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:01 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.358218373 | $11.58 |
| 10-01 10:01 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $80.00 |
| 09-30 17:32 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1868607377 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 17:31 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1348598522 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 17:30 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:01 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.008671945 | $0.58 |
| 09-26 13:06 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 19:16 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1190877875 | $60.00 |
| 09-23 19:12 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.0386787883 | $10.76 |
| 09-22 11:00 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.0389999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 11:00 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 10:59 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.04 | $40.00 |
| 09-21 17:01 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $40.00 |
| 09-21 16:59 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 16:59 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.04 | $104.54 |