PolyBot

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Traders

Joseaa

0x633e584379f70a2e7278d665daaa1fe050279a04

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$65.4k
Markets traded
869
Open portfolio
$828.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded869
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1750.135$545.78−$163.66
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.085$132.55−$27.45
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1670.405$124.86+$73.28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0630.065$16.56+$0.56
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.026$4.02−$0.98
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · Yes0.0680.049$3.59−$1.41
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.0800.039$0.97−$1.02
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00−$90.00
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 10:01Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.358218373$11.58
10-01 10:01Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.09$80.00
09-30 17:32Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1868607377$10.00
09-30 17:31Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1348598522$30.00
09-30 17:30Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.004$1.00
09-29 19:01Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.008671945$0.58
09-26 13:06Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-23 19:16Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1190877875$60.00
09-23 19:12Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.0386787883$10.76
09-22 11:00Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.0389999999$10.00
09-22 11:00Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999998$20.00
09-22 10:59Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.04$40.00
09-21 17:01Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.06$40.00
09-21 16:59Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.05$50.00
09-21 16:59Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.04$104.54