0x63305BBa381F0A1957694e6CB084cE02005E6841-1774517744985
0x63305bba381f0a1957694e6cb084ce02005e6841
- Realised P&L
- $-46.91
- Volume
- $490.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.500Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$635.78at 0.416US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$569.48at 0.553US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$269.89at 0.720Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$-91.92at 0.019Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 01:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.3k |
| 09-08 01:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0390838218 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 01:41 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.6176723726 | $478.11 |
| 09-08 01:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0900303132 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 00:48 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.6526540909 | $1.0k |
| 09-06 16:45 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0149946437 | $14.00 |
| 09-06 16:43 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2607397915 | $250.00 |
| 09-02 14:00 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2298161457 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 13:59 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.222349921 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 13:56 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0516709901 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 13:54 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2208012774 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 13:46 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.051864115 | $50.00 |
| 09-02 13:44 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0120843313 | $50.00 |
| 09-02 13:44 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2191267277 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 13:41 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0492308107 | $100.00 |