whysoseri8us
0x631127de571bb2ee447d2a557ba2145e80c4fb18
- Realised P&L
- $-458.41
- Volume
- $208.6k
- Markets traded
- 7,210
- Open portfolio
- $979.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,210
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.74at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?
- +$52.47at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?
- +$34.93at 0.816Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$32.17at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?
- +$28.63at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 10-22 08:49 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.968 | $19.36 |
| 10-22 08:43 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 10-22 07:23 | Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 10-20 14:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 10-20 14:20 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 10-14 09:06 | Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 10-14 08:14 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 10-09 10:45 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-22 12:18 | Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 09-21 08:28 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 09-09 09:22 | China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-08 11:22 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 09-08 11:16 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-08 11:14 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |