bndrn
0x62a6e8a0fc4a7c6d709cb7384b084c5b2b1d0cd7
- Realised P&L
- $-79.80
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $63.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.52at 0.210Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?
- +$2.26at 0.470Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$2.08at 0.490Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
- +$1.77at 0.530Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$1.51at 0.570Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 11:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999904 | $14.00 |
| 05-13 12:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999592 | $4.93 |
| 05-06 14:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 04-04 16:03 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 04-04 16:01 | US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 14:28 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1399999853 | $8.00 |
| 03-15 08:40 | Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 03-15 08:40 | Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 03-15 08:40 | Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 03-15 08:39 | Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | BUY | 0.0492134502 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 08:39 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1243542668 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 20:35 | Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 20:35 | Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 20:35 | Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.0531379108 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 20:34 | Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |