SovereignDoubt
0x6214ac149284a29d5fbb6a960a696cec550c990a
- Realised P&L
- $8.74
- Volume
- $531.82
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $100.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 15:15 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 14:51 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 07-03 14:51 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 14:49 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3329999337 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 14:48 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1309999804 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 13:08 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 13:08 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.067999988 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 13:07 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 13:05 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0859999856 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 13:01 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2849999698 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 13:00 | Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 12:51 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1859999273 | $2.00 |
| 03-03 12:46 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 12:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 12:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |