0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065
0x61f2fb3bae210403381409e565d784d97818e77a
- Realised P&L
- $500.87
- Volume
- $115.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,789
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,789
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.03at 0.746Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$8.87at 0.899Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
- +$8.69at 0.810Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
- +$8.24at 0.630Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.21at 0.837US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:26 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 10-01 07:01 | Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.888 | $5.68 |
| 09-30 20:46 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-30 20:10 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-30 08:49 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 09-29 07:34 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-29 06:10 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-29 03:50 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-29 02:18 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-29 00:06 | Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-28 22:54 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.693 | $6.93 |
| 09-28 08:02 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 09-27 22:17 | Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 09-27 09:25 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 09-25 22:13 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |