PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sobaka.yebaka

0x613a05a00583dadf17a564428f65919f5d412185

Realised P&L
$-23.1k
Volume
$1.07M
Markets traded
1,316
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,316
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · No0.2900.875$788.80+$527.00
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? · No0.7200.983$511.20+$136.46
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · No0.8340.975$263.03+$37.96
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.3760.435$240.99+$32.49
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.6820.925$136.04+$35.68
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.3330.885$122.13+$76.23
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.4690.746$105.19+$38.99
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6680.979$81.26+$25.79
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1190.070$72.29−$50.25
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · No0.7410.920$71.93+$14.00
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.6100.280$70.99−$83.95
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · No0.8870.981$70.63+$6.74
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.6190.563$55.13−$5.54
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · No0.8600.923$50.79+$3.49
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7560.800$47.20+$2.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 02:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?BUY0.56$12.92
10-14 02:06Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?BUY0.549$27.45
10-14 01:26Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?BUY0.48$4.80
10-14 01:21Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?BUY0.51$13.19
10-13 17:46Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)SELL0.5$88.50
10-13 17:44Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)BUY0.51$90.27
09-20 19:58Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.96$2.2k
09-03 07:40Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026SELL0.7652323118$108.37
08-30 07:54Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?SELL0.29$8.70
08-27 10:24Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$3.60
08-27 10:24Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$13.92
08-27 10:19Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.23$0.23
08-27 09:04Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.19$9.50
08-27 09:02Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.18$4.08
08-27 09:01Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.17$0.25