tradexplorer
0x6138b966436f811bc0e3f0d35f1fb14b869b97a0
- Realised P&L
- $69.8k
- Volume
- $11.94M
- Markets traded
- 668
- Open portfolio
- $121.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded668
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.8kat 0.202Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$14.5kat 0.327Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$7.3kat 0.514Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$6.7kat 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$6.1kat 0.656Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:05 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.655 | $65.50 |
| 07-31 12:21 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $175.77 |
| 07-03 00:05 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.78 |
| 07-02 05:38 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0568006405 | $70.94 |
| 06-30 11:55 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6 | $54.52 |
| 06-30 03:40 | GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.963 | $39.11 |
| 06-30 03:19 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.039 | $73.67 |
| 06-30 03:18 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6481770727 | $712.99 |
| 06-28 07:55 | Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY | 0.2 | $160.00 |
| 06-18 03:31 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.9k |
| 06-10 03:32 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.032 | $6.08 |
| 06-10 03:32 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.85 |
| 05-29 17:38 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $24.30 |
| 05-26 17:07 | Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3013688462 | $78.36 |
| 05-09 06:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.946 | $442.41 |