PolyBot

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Traders

tradexplorer

0x6138b966436f811bc0e3f0d35f1fb14b869b97a0

Realised P&L
$58.6k
Volume
$12.04M
Markets traded
669
Open portfolio
$103.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded669
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9080.915$9.8k+$73.01
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6180.390$8.6k$5.0k
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8020.776$8.1k$269.29
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.5380.240$7.2k$8.9k
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8780.880$7.0k+$15.37
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.4990.370$4.9k$1.7k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.945$4.7k+$575.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6800.935$4.7k+$1.3k
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.6920.855$4.3k+$812.73
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8260.850$4.1k+$114.36
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9080.949$3.9k+$167.22
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8300.852$3.7k+$95.66
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.5930.465$3.7k$1.0k
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.4120.140$3.5k$6.8k
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.6680.545$3.5k$781.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 10:21Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.56$177.98
08-29 04:10Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.22$326.33
08-22 00:51Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.86$31.36
08-21 12:07Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.4129111455$133.37
08-20 12:35Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.0280835031$0.14
08-19 21:06Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.03$9.55
08-19 21:05Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.56$180.08
08-19 17:29Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.7$21.77
08-19 15:15Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.67$706.18
08-19 11:14Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.69$166.29
08-18 02:17Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.047$6.11
08-17 11:47Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.28$224.25
08-16 07:19Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.0502771084$12.52
08-12 18:38Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.65$650.00
08-12 11:12StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.89$61.80