PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tradexplorer

0x6138b966436f811bc0e3f0d35f1fb14b869b97a0

Realised P&L
$69.8k
Volume
$11.94M
Markets traded
668
Open portfolio
$121.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded668
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9080.915$11.0k+$81.89
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7360.770$10.8k+$475.34
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5690.510$10.2k$1.2k
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6830.590$7.1k$1.1k
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7030.690$6.8k$134.81
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.4720.325$6.5k$2.9k
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8770.855$6.3k$163.21
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.935$4.7k+$525.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6800.925$4.6k+$1.2k
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.4990.345$4.6k$2.0k
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.6920.840$4.2k+$737.73
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8260.825$4.0k$6.93
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9080.929$3.8k+$87.03
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.5930.405$3.6k$1.7k
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.6680.495$3.3k$1.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:05Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.655$65.50
07-31 12:21Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.81$175.77
07-03 00:05Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.17$0.78
07-02 05:38Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.0568006405$70.94
06-30 11:55Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.6$54.52
06-30 03:40GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.963$39.11
06-30 03:19Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.039$73.67
06-30 03:18Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6481770727$712.99
06-28 07:55Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?BUY0.2$160.00
06-18 03:31Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.51$1.9k
06-10 03:32Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.032$6.08
06-10 03:32Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.03$2.85
05-29 17:38Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.9$24.30
05-26 17:07Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.3013688462$78.36
05-09 06:45Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.946$442.41