tradexplorer
0x6138b966436f811bc0e3f0d35f1fb14b869b97a0
- Realised P&L
- $58.6k
- Volume
- $12.04M
- Markets traded
- 669
- Open portfolio
- $103.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded669
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.8kat 0.203Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$14.5kat 0.328Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
- +$7.3kat 0.514Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$6.7kat 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$6.1kat 0.656Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $177.98 |
| 08-29 04:10 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.22 | $326.33 |
| 08-22 00:51 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $31.36 |
| 08-21 12:07 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4129111455 | $133.37 |
| 08-20 12:35 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0280835031 | $0.14 |
| 08-19 21:06 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.03 | $9.55 |
| 08-19 21:05 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.56 | $180.08 |
| 08-19 17:29 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $21.77 |
| 08-19 15:15 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.67 | $706.18 |
| 08-19 11:14 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $166.29 |
| 08-18 02:17 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.047 | $6.11 |
| 08-17 11:47 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.28 | $224.25 |
| 08-16 07:19 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0502771084 | $12.52 |
| 08-12 18:38 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.65 | $650.00 |
| 08-12 11:12 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $61.80 |