rinsler
0x612bebee5e62e9e3b0addda1b21a21f007c6e141
- Realised P&L
- $-26.31
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $79.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.30at 0.585Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.40at 0.460Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$4.88at 0.140Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?
- +$4.00at 0.600GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$3.90at 0.610Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 17:52 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.597 | $1.19 |
| 08-10 18:53 | Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 21? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 17:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 05-31 21:25 | Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 11:02 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 05-05 13:53 | Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 05-04 12:33 | Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8489999609 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 13:37 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9779998709 | $2.00 |
| 04-28 18:07 | Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 18:00 | Pharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8819996737 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 17:59 | Pharos FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9759999922 | $2.00 |
| 04-25 12:24 | Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $0.97 |
| 04-25 12:10 | Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.78 | $0.94 |
| 04-25 11:56 | Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $0.97 |
| 04-25 11:56 | Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $0.99 |