PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PolyEGG

0x60a82a9abb8fed5a860bbd7bf74941316c7d7d37

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$413.2k
Markets traded
1,393
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,393
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6390.796$283.90+$56.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8210.840$184.65+$3.97
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9290.935$173.49+$1.16
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9300.945$157.83+$2.51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7960.835$135.14+$6.35
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8920.910$120.24+$2.42
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9200.945$102.72+$2.72
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9700.997$92.46+$2.46
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8400.961$91.48+$11.48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9420.945$90.31+$0.32
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9100.935$82.20+$2.20
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.8880.983$76.87+$7.40
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8670.925$72.18+$4.55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9570.972$63.86+$0.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2810.825$60.05+$39.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 09:50Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.999$28.05
08-26 09:48Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.7765899705$42.12
08-26 09:48Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.71$50.19
08-26 09:45Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.87$26.31
08-26 09:44Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.35$9.21
08-26 09:43Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.952$10.13
08-26 09:43Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.95$54.58
08-26 09:41US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.16$101.71
08-26 09:40Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?SELL0.38$31.54
08-26 09:36Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$142.87
08-24 03:47Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.962$54.10
08-24 03:46Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.93$27.26
08-24 03:46Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?SELL0.995$112.45
08-24 03:45Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.048$2.77
08-13 21:40Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.601$9.12