PolyEGG
0x60a82a9abb8fed5a860bbd7bf74941316c7d7d37
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $413.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,393
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,393
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$425.05at 0.942US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$273.73at 0.439Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
- +$248.29at 0.772Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$215.32at 0.329Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
- +$209.45at 0.208MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 09:50 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.05 |
| 08-26 09:48 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.7765899705 | $42.12 |
| 08-26 09:48 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.71 | $50.19 |
| 08-26 09:45 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.87 | $26.31 |
| 08-26 09:44 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.35 | $9.21 |
| 08-26 09:43 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $10.13 |
| 08-26 09:43 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $54.58 |
| 08-26 09:41 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $101.71 |
| 08-26 09:40 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $31.54 |
| 08-26 09:36 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $142.87 |
| 08-24 03:47 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.962 | $54.10 |
| 08-24 03:46 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.26 |
| 08-24 03:46 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $112.45 |
| 08-24 03:45 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.048 | $2.77 |
| 08-13 21:40 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.601 | $9.12 |