0x6045514c6ff09Edd73Cb09f42254E1EC4c763530-1775596177399
0x6045514c6ff09edd73cb09f42254e1ec4c763530
- Realised P&L
- $-70.10
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $20.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.34at 0.304Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 13?
- +$12.61at 0.272Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
- +$10.84at 0.489Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 22?
- +$7.70at 0.196Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
- +$3.89at 0.720Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 14:30 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0629999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 14:29 | Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1329999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 14:29 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:29 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 23:04 | Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 23:02 | Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 23:02 | Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 23:01 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.0209716781 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 21:49 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 21:49 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 13:49 | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 08-26 13:48 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |