PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6045514c6ff09Edd73Cb09f42254E1EC4c763530-1775596177399

0x6045514c6ff09edd73cb09f42254e1ec4c763530

Realised P&L
$-70.10
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$20.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3300.320$2.91$0.09
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? · Yes0.2700.250$2.78$0.22
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0630.081$2.56+$0.56
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2400.245$2.04+$0.04
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1330.106$1.59$0.41
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.1300.160$1.23+$0.23
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.3930.155$1.18$1.82
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2730.070$1.02$2.97
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0180.015$0.86$0.14
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.110$0.58$0.42
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0480.014$0.58$1.42
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.002$0.50$0.50
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0330.015$0.47$0.53
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? · Yes0.1400.065$0.46$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 14:30Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0629999995$2.00
09-10 14:29Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1329999999$2.00
09-10 14:29Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-10 14:29Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
08-30 23:04Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
08-30 23:02Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-30 23:02Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-30 23:01Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.4499999212$2.00
08-30 21:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 31?BUY0.008$1.00
08-30 21:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 31?BUY0.0209716781$2.00
08-30 21:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 31?BUY0.32$2.00
08-30 21:49Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4$3.00
08-30 21:49Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
08-26 13:49Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?BUY0.269999937$3.00
08-26 13:48Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3299997822$1.00