PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5F8B17901fdDc312B51dC326AD11350E300811c5-1765098459260

0x5f8b17901fddc312b51dc326ad11350e300811c5

Realised P&L
$-17.38
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$23.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? · No change0.2700.875$16.20+$11.20
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.0350.036$3.13+$0.13
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0180.018$2.92−$0.08
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1400.095$0.68−$0.32
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.028$0.67−$4.33
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 3AM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 7? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 7? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B · Natus Vincere0.1290.000$0.00−$1.00
Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 13:37Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?BUY0.0494073099$5.00
09-30 13:37Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?BUY0.0451263538$5.00
09-30 13:36Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0349999999$3.00
09-30 13:36Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.018$3.00
09-29 15:45Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group BBUY0.1289999997$1.00
09-29 15:42Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-29 15:41No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?BUY0.269999993$5.00
09-29 15:38Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?BUY0.25$1.00
09-29 15:36Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
12-08 23:56Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?BUY0.0517464424$5.00
12-08 23:54Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 9?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
12-07 16:44Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?BUY0.032$1.00
12-07 16:41Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?BUY0.0200873168$1.00
12-07 16:40Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?BUY0.0333583521$10.00
12-07 16:35Will Trump sue the BBC?BUY0.1126865457$1.00