0x5f8500f6637a0d99533b28a4b525039816a677c5
0x5f8500f6637a0d99533b28a4b525039816a677c5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.28
- Volume
- $304.18
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $5.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.590 | 0.855 | $2.88 | +$0.89 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.330 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.475 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.055 | $0.35 | −$1.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.05at 0.227S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23?
- +$7.18at 0.247Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$5.33at 0.306Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$3.53at 0.400SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$3.53at 0.400Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:59 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:56 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 00:06 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 2? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:04 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:59 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:26 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:26 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:25 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7369998622 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:23 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:20 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:37 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:22 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $201 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |