PolyBot

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Traders

Marcelix

0x5f537c4759acd360a978074f563631d2f1c3f9fa

Realised P&L
$39.18
Volume
$116.2k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2980.543$1.3k+$576.64
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.2760.051$73.32$326.68
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.3510.026$6.79$83.21
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$169.92
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00$300.00
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$100.00
Brazil vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$30.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$100.00
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$20.00
Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$100.00
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Haiti? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$20.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00$141.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 21:46Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.015$17.24
07-03 19:07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.128$84.77
07-02 12:38Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3499999986$100.00
07-02 12:37Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3899999959$50.00
07-01 12:56Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?SELL0.2881201786$99.35
07-01 12:55Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?BUY0.3703739785$100.00
07-01 12:51Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?BUY0.1073555317$19.99
07-01 12:50Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3499999975$50.00
07-01 12:49Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?BUY0.4299999985$100.00
06-30 23:11Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3279999986$100.00
06-30 20:39Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.2899999981$100.00
06-30 20:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2409518083$100.00
06-29 18:35Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.5299999977$69.92
06-29 18:26Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.449999998$100.00
06-29 13:14Neymar Jr: 1+ goalsBUY0.1399999948$20.00