0x5F26C3475e11997a87579989f056F954a9a6fE92-1774017867393
0x5f26c3475e11997a87579989f056f954a9a6fe92
- Realised P&L
- $-661.61
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $331.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.507 | $125.77 | +$25.77 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.605 | $106.14 | +$6.14 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.966 | $32.10 | +$0.12 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.305 | $20.07 | −$4.93 |
| Cowboys vs. Texans · Cowboys | 0.440 | 0.435 | $19.77 | −$0.23 |
| Cardinals vs. Giants · Giants | 0.490 | 0.485 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Patriots vs. Bills · Patriots | 0.280 | 0.275 | $9.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.150 | $4.48 | −$15.52 |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.713 | 0.085 | $2.38 | −$17.62 |
| Will Mike Trout win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.016 | $0.87 | −$24.13 |
| Western Michigan vs. Rice · Rice | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Rams vs. Broncos · Rams | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$573.13at 0.080US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$421.45at 0.587Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$337.03at 0.597Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets
- +$188.10at 0.210US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$165.26at 0.547Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 03:51 | Cardinals vs. Giants | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 03:51 | Patriots vs. Bills | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 03:48 | Cowboys vs. Texans | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 03:42 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 03:17 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5699999918 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 02:53 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.6822081148 | $74.15 |
| 09-21 01:33 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 11:42 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 11:41 | Commanders vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 11:39 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.6199999945 | $25.00 |
| 09-19 12:22 | New Mexico vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.9399999998 | $80.00 |
| 09-19 12:22 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 12:20 | Western Michigan vs. Rice | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 02:18 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9619999781 | $31.98 |
| 09-12 01:59 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $25.00 |