0x5F26C3475e11997a87579989f056F954a9a6fE92-1774017867393
0x5f26c3475e11997a87579989f056f954a9a6fe92
- Realised P&L
- $-679.71
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $242.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.460 | $113.88 | +$13.88 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.605 | $106.14 | +$6.14 |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.713 | 0.400 | $11.22 | −$8.78 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.320 | $9.55 | −$10.45 |
| Will Mike Trout win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.035 | $1.91 | −$23.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$573.13at 0.080US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$434.48at 0.580Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$347.46at 0.590Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets
- +$188.10at 0.210US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$170.37at 0.540Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 01:51 | Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.4099999959 | $30.00 |
| 07-20 01:50 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.4338351946 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 12:36 | Will Marcus Ericsson win the Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 12:33 | Will David Malukas win the Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 12:31 | Washington Nationals vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.4319999905 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 12:30 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 03:07 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4035085496 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 03:39 | Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 16:53 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4078587326 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 16:49 | Washington Nationals vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 16:48 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 16:46 | Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.7950310559 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 16:39 | Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 16:37 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.7128712554 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 16:37 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |