PolyBot

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Traders

990binpuhvel7586

0x5eb183e23d2139eefcaa9b0a7b3daddef0c8e27b

Realised P&L
$4.68
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$235.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-07 House seat? · No0.9500.975$51.78+$1.33
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · No0.9500.956$49.70+$0.31
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat? · Yes0.9400.920$49.37−$1.07
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? · No0.9510.929$49.04−$1.16
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · Yes0.9400.506$27.32−$23.44
Will Trump deport 700-800k people? · No0.9950.985$5.71−$0.06
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · No0.9840.970$2.91−$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-16 08:47Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.997$19.94