990binpuhvel7586
0x5eb183e23d2139eefcaa9b0a7b3daddef0c8e27b
- Realised P&L
- $-26.27
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $96.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the MS-01 House seat? · No | 0.960 | 0.963 | $67.38 | +$0.17 |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.396 | $21.38 | −$29.38 |
| Will Trump deport 700-800k people? · No | 0.995 | 0.987 | $5.72 | −$0.05 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.697 | $2.09 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.70at 0.982Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?
- +$0.81at 0.964Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$0.46at 0.976Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
- +$0.20at 0.985Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.10at 0.983Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 08:47 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |