PolyBot

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Traders

ArbitrageTaker

0x5e925066d60a57ebce9291a86acaef92b6db618a

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$102.2k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$18.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9510.979$3.9k+$110.75
Is Earth flat? · No0.9810.993$1.3k+$15.88
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9630.973$1.1k+$10.96
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9680.989$1.0k+$20.84
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9300.985$984.50+$54.50
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9440.981$882.45+$32.95
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.8900.973$816.12+$69.90
Will Trump resign before 2027? · No0.9200.971$776.40+$40.40
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9930.999$698.95+$3.85
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.9030.981$690.30+$54.63
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.986$613.46+$40.77
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9800.981$603.11+$0.58
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · No0.8650.945$574.95+$48.79
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8010.775$550.25$18.45
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? · No0.8200.916$477.29+$50.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 08:40Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.965$469.95
08-10 08:39Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.964$120.29
08-07 18:31Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.978$293.40
08-07 18:28Will Mohamed Salah finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.978$146.70
07-30 17:04Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?BUY0.84$16.80
07-30 17:04Jeff Bezos Announced as New Liverpool Owner in 2026?BUY0.82$70.67
07-14 14:02President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?SELL0.9532869$95.33
07-13 14:12Will Alberta join the US? BUY0.976$12.10
07-09 13:03Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?BUY0.977$482.40
07-08 17:22Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$229.63
07-08 17:14Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?BUY0.992$198.40
07-06 15:05US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?BUY0.8$139.91
07-06 11:51Trump goes to space in 2026?BUY0.98$551.12
07-06 11:51Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.969$375.00
07-06 10:17Will Christian Pulisic record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.996$249.00