PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Icanwinthisgame

0x5de72afd53f4860470ee0f4a11bf0eabddb1540c

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$301.4k
Markets traded
608
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded608
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6440.545$272.50$49.50
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5430.605$181.50+$18.50
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.4830.615$178.20+$38.02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4670.305$158.60$84.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5200.780$155.99+$52.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6600.770$115.49+$16.50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? · Yes0.8490.720$111.60$19.95
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.5280.386$99.99$36.89
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.3370.445$89.98+$21.74
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.9100.880$88.00$3.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7500.795$79.50+$4.50
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6000.735$73.50+$13.50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4570.095$71.36$271.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1470.125$50.00$9.00
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? · No0.7600.930$46.50+$8.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:40Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.15$15.00
08-02 16:39Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.15$15.00
08-02 13:53Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.442$17.68
08-02 13:17Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.43$43.00
08-02 13:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 12:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.52$104.00
08-02 11:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.11$11.00
08-02 07:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.59$59.00
07-28 13:100 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?SELL0.0215186568$12.62
07-28 13:030 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?SELL0.045$4.48
07-28 12:18US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.59$5.90
07-28 11:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 27 2026?SELL0.03$1.80
07-28 11:38Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.988$98.80
07-26 21:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$1.40
07-26 13:24US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.08$16.00