PolyBot

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Traders

0x5dDde3B22F24AE9bf2de418882437F84D1990014-1765425723126

0x5ddde3b22f24ae9bf2de418882437f84d1990014

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$515.0k
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6450.175$1.4k$3.8k
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$12.94$65.54
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7350.855$8.55+$1.20
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$7.67$29.03
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1240.065$7.44$6.74
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0720.065$6.93$0.79
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0700.038$4.23$3.42
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0700.055$2.58$0.68
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.21$3.12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.4800.050$1.73$15.06
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? · Yes0.7320.000$0.00$83.97
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 05:03Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$9.30
07-30 15:21China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.09$1.08
07-24 04:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.52$52.00
07-21 13:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.56$56.00
07-12 02:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.64$64.00
07-05 23:34Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?BUY0.769$23.07
07-05 03:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.75$75.00
07-03 06:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.83$415.00
07-03 01:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.83$664.00
07-02 12:52Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?SELL0.999$507.98
07-02 08:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.82$82.00
07-02 02:40Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.037$1.11
07-01 01:08Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.88$44.00
06-30 00:06Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.996$398.20
06-29 11:08Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.994$710.22