PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

j.shi

0x5da5c7f4d27cc68cfade220119918df60f90f339

Realised P&L
$-22.19
Volume
$650.18
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$39.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4700.635$27.02+$7.02
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.6200.475$7.66−$2.34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4350.195$4.48−$5.52
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 08:31Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on December 31?SELL0.2$10.00
09-25 08:31Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?SELL0.261$3.71
09-25 08:30Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1081295372$9.53
09-25 02:57Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?BUY0.2889999855$4.11
09-25 02:54US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?BUY0.0760058985$5.00
09-25 02:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4347968625$10.00
09-25 02:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1059417354$9.34
09-25 02:51Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on December 31?BUY0.2$10.00
09-25 02:49Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
09-25 02:45Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.956$9.97
09-25 02:45Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.74$7.78
09-25 02:45Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?SELL0.85$5.12
09-25 02:44Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.962$30.02
09-22 05:21Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7599999848$8.00
09-22 04:58Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9609999935$30.00