0x5D4EC67C9Fb7958CC6ff6708C1d175D1f2a67a5F-1768453850164
0x5d4ec67c9fb7958cc6ff6708c1d175d1f2a67a5f
- Realised P&L
- $489.01
- Volume
- $43.5k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $686.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.028Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$436.00at 0.616US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$332.47at 0.235Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$111.11at 0.480Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$97.89at 0.380US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:20 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.032 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 06:19 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0550719274 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 06:18 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0239999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 06:18 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.147922094 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 06:16 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.44 | $50.36 |
| 10-29 06:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 05:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 04:50 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0459999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 04:50 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 04:50 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $50.00 |
| 08-11 23:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 22:50 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? | SELL | 0.4179461705 | $46.27 |
| 07-22 22:46 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27? | BUY | 0.4515762944 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 22:45 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22? | BUY | 0.5579841718 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 22:41 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.27328601 | $50.00 |