PolyBot

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Traders

0x5D4EC67C9Fb7958CC6ff6708C1d175D1f2a67a5F-1768453850164

0x5d4ec67c9fb7958cc6ff6708c1d175d1f2a67a5f

Realised P&L
$489.01
Volume
$43.5k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$686.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3250.175$165.34−$141.65
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3010.365$139.88+$24.38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2780.147$115.90−$102.30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0620.045$81.64−$31.35
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.4340.135$74.86−$166.14
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0740.019$25.65−$74.25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.1640.029$21.96−$102.04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.085$20.40−$82.80
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.024$15.12−$85.67
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0460.049$10.54+$0.54
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0700.046$6.57−$3.43
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0240.021$4.27−$0.73
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0550.047$4.27−$0.73
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$21.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 06:20Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.032$10.00
10-29 06:19Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0550719274$5.00
10-29 06:18Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0239999999$5.00
10-29 06:18Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.147922094$30.00
10-29 06:16Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.44$50.36
10-29 06:14Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.05$50.00
10-28 05:25Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999999$50.00
09-09 04:50Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0459999999$10.00
09-09 04:50Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-09 04:50Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2699999988$50.00
08-11 23:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.32$100.00
07-22 22:50Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?SELL0.4179461705$46.27
07-22 22:46Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?BUY0.4515762944$50.00
07-22 22:45Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?BUY0.5579841718$50.00
07-22 22:41Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.27328601$50.00