0x5d11Fb9e163a8d51Fc896eD47C417E144b02018E-1753514376998
0x5d11fb9e163a8d51fc896ed47c417e144b02018e
- Realised P&L
- $12.15
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $275.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $146.17 | −$35.16 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.021 | $129.82 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.17at 0.968Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.24at 0.964Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.76at 0.963Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
- +$-0.34at 0.030Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
- +$-1.68at 0.028Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.022 | $28.77 |
| 09-24 23:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.021 | $17.56 |
| 09-24 23:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $78.12 |
| 09-24 16:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $7.99 |
| 09-24 16:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.01 |
| 09-24 16:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $7.91 |
| 09-24 16:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $103.23 |