EB99999
0x5d0f03cf1243a3e21262d6cf844795afd9fff0ad
- Realised P&L
- $-402.7k
- Volume
- $14.84M
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $30.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.419 | 0.265 | $16.7k | −$9.7k |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.226 | $13.5k | −$6.1k |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.065 | $22.01 | −$55.86 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.2kat 0.791US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$239.5kat 0.978US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$134.0kat 0.065Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$113.2kat 0.783US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$82.3kat 0.850US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 16:14 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3739986613 | $2.3k |
| 06-15 18:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.041 | $5.82 |
| 06-14 21:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.24993711 | $5.0k |
| 06-14 20:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $824.03 |
| 06-14 20:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $225.40 |
| 06-11 21:41 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $9.2k |
| 06-11 21:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.887 | $383.18 |
| 06-11 05:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $16.6k |
| 06-11 04:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $5.5k |
| 06-11 03:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9628977531 | $346.8k |
| 06-08 07:58 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.032 | $161.30 |
| 06-06 10:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $6.48 |
| 06-05 18:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $274.91 |
| 06-01 05:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $65.07 |
| 06-01 01:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.9k |