PolyBot

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Traders

0x5d0b5a35f7f2c7f8ac8c33e7812b896c0d966f99

0x5d0b5a35f7f2c7f8ac8c33e7812b896c0d966f99

Realised P&L
$-0.39
Volume
$209.88
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$4.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7300.955$1.31+$0.31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.2600.310$1.19+$0.19
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No0.6100.635$1.04+$0.04
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes0.7300.755$1.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 15:27Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-02 15:10Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-02 07:03Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-01 23:00Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-01 13:12Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
09-30 04:06Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-29 20:06Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-24 20:11Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-23 12:10Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-23 04:10Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-22 08:10Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
09-18 21:05Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.74$1.48
09-18 12:20Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$2.00
09-12 03:06Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-07 23:37Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.699999965$2.00